Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.434281 0.501259 0.574196 0.659397 0.756066 0.862206 0.987440
2025-08-31 0.308213 0.396293 0.501801 0.636920 0.804729 1.005603 1.263533
2025-09-07 0.260109 0.361776 0.492231 0.670598 0.906632 1.206586 1.614678
2025-09-14 0.209838 0.312222 0.451529 0.652816 0.933669 1.308655 1.843579
2025-09-21 0.172984 0.273309 0.417081 0.635125 0.953680 1.397487 2.056737
2025-09-28 0.145577 0.242979 0.389296 0.621102 0.973984 1.484529 2.270467
2025-10-05 0.130603 0.228906 0.382877 0.636361 1.036366 1.634363 2.583718
2025-10-12 0.121599 0.222795 0.387394 0.667886 1.124932 1.828348 2.975824
2025-10-19 0.110959 0.212249 0.383122 0.684114 1.189813 1.989888 3.329017
2025-10-26 0.100175 0.199817 0.373952 0.690635 1.238523 2.128431 3.654655
2025-11-02 0.089643 0.186292 0.361107 0.689008 1.272555 2.244576 3.950873
2025-11-09 0.079392 0.171815 0.344749 0.679092 1.290710 2.334698 4.208985
2025-11-16 0.070337 0.158632 0.329614 0.670433 1.311349 2.432369 4.490443
2025-11-23 0.060851 0.143224 0.308482 0.648355 1.305726 2.484335 4.697547
2025-11-30 0.058556 0.142684 0.316360 0.682645 1.407237 2.732249 5.265409
2025-12-07 0.051352 0.130295 0.298769 0.664574 1.407214 2.796286 5.506889
2025-12-14 0.045091 0.119068 0.282189 0.646591 1.405282 2.855819 5.742935
2025-12-21 0.039919 0.109596 0.268184 0.632336 1.409123 2.925756 6.001981
2025-12-28 0.037542 0.106598 0.268120 0.647848 1.474798 3.118425 6.506015
2026-01-04 0.036489 0.106791 0.275305 0.679894 1.577361 3.389593 7.177942
2026-01-11 0.034467 0.104162 0.275591 0.696388 1.647997 3.601576 7.746089
2026-01-18 0.032020 0.100020 0.271775 0.703017 1.697605 3.773966 8.245259
2026-01-25 0.029349 0.094831 0.264765 0.701363 1.728544 3.909576 8.677436